Alberta leads Canada on wanting to join U.S. if Liberals win federal election
As the federal election day nears, a new poll shows Alberta leading Canada wanting to join the U.S. if Prime Minister Mark Carney and the Liberals pull out a victory.
The election in Canada will take place on Monday, April 28, and ahead of Canadians going to the polls, new data from the Angus Reid Institute shows the strongest disdain for Carney and the Liberals in Alberta.
When respondents were asked how they would vote in a referendum about their province leaving Canada, 15 per cent said they would prefer their province be its own country, while 11 per cent said they would join the United States. Quebec leads the way in a desire to become its own country, while Albertans and Saskatchewanians are most likely to want to join the United States.
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Angus Reid Institute
The numbers bumped up slightly if the Liberals were to form the next government, with support for leaving Canada to become a separate nation rising five points in Alberta and 13 points in Saskatchewan.
The prospect of saying yes to joining the U.S. also jumps up for some provinces, with Alberta leading the country at 27 per cent, followed by Saskatchewan at 23 per cent and British Columbia at 19 per cent.
The Angus Reid Institute added that these are, notably, vastly outweighed by the majority who would vote no in a referendum regardless of who forms government.
Angus Reid Institute
When you break it down by voters across the country, two in five current Conservative Party voters say they would be interested in seeing their own province leave the confederation if the Liberals win the forthcoming election. The same number would also be open to joining the U.S. after such a result. This is compared to approximately four per cent of Liberal and NDP voters.
The Angus Reid Institute conducted an online survey from March 20 to 24, 2025, among a randomized sample of 2,400 Canadian adults who are members of the Angus Reid Forum. The sample was weighted to represent adults nationwide according to region, gender, age, household income, and education based on the Canadian census.