DP World, one of the biggest port operators globally, may resume development next year of the US$1.6 billion fourth terminal at its flagship Jebel Ali port, which was put on hold last year because of a softening in the container shipping market.
The Nasdaq Dubai-listed company said last year it was slowing down work in Jebel Ali, the biggest port in the Middle East and North Africa, by postponing new additions to Terminal 3 into this year and putting off the construction of phase one of Terminal 4 which was scheduled for completion next year.
"Current capacity at Jebel Ali is 18 million TEU (twenty-foot equivalent units). At the same time, 1.3 million TEU will be added to T3 in the second half of 2017," Sultan bin Sulaymen, DP World's chairman, said in written answers to The National's questions.
"T3 will have a capacity of 3.8 million TEU and will be the world's largest semi-automated facility. Once operational, total capacity at Jebel Ali will increase to 19.3 million TEU. Meanwhile, T4 expansion will take place in 2018 scheduled to market demand."
DP World announced in 2015 that it would add 3.1 million TEU in Jebel Ali by building phase one of the fourth terminal, increasing overall capacity to 22.1 million TEUs by 2018.
At the time, Mr bin Sulayem said construction of Terminal 4 was in response to customer demand for greater capacity and in anticipation of an increase in trade in the lead-up to Expo 2020.
Mr bin Sulayem pointed to the stabilisation of volumes at Jebel Ali as a positive trend that will improve the port operator's overall performance this year. DP World's UAE ports, which included Fujairah container terminal before the concession ended this year, handled 3.7 million TEU in the first quarter, growing 1.8 per cent compared with the same period last year.
"We are pleased to see the recent stability in the UAE and as we look ahead into 2017, we expect our new developments in Rotterdam (Netherlands), Nhava Sheva (India), London Gateway (United Kingdom) and Yarimca (Turkey) to drive growth in our portfolio," said Mr bin Sulayem.
"The industry has faced some issues with lower commodity prices, currency fluctuations and political events. This has had an impact on trade growth, but we remain positive on the medium and long-term growth outlook for our industry."
DP World's gross container volumes grew by 5.7 per cent year-on-year on a reported basis, ahead of the industry estimate of 2.6 per cent throughput growth for the first quarter of the year, beating estimates from Egyptian investment bank, EFG Hermes. Its terminals around the world handled 16.4 million TEU between January and March compared with 15.5 million TEU a year earlier. On a like-for-like basis, which does not include volumes from newly opened terminals, the throughput grew 5 per cent in the first quarter.
Outside the UAE, the port operator is scouring for new assets and developments to help diversify its portfolio. For example, in May it signed an agreement with India's National Investment and Infrastructure Fund to invest in the country's logistics center.
"We are seeking opportunities in the country worth over US$1 billion over the next few years," said Mr bin Sulayem. "This will be aimed at the development of port infrastructure of the Sagarmala project, creation of the Delhi-Mumbai Industrial Corridor, river transportation and cold chain storage, investing in port-led special economic zones, free trade zones, ICDs and cruise terminals."
The port operator is also scouting for investment opportunities in Russia, where it has a joint agreement with government-owned Russian Direct Investment Fund to invest up to $2bn in ports, transport and logistics
In December 2016, DP World also announced a partnership with Canadian pension fund manager Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec to create an investment vehicle that will invest $3.7bn in global ports, excluding the UAE.
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”